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The Composed Market / The record
Forty terms pages, and the six rules almost none of them state

What the operator keeps about a composed market, and what a reader can check

A composed market is decided by six rules: that a model prices it, that the price is not the product of the legs, what happens when a leg is void, whether a combination can be settled in part, how many legs may be joined, and whether a request may be refused. This page counts how often a reader is told any of them.

Desk spec
terms pages read
40
state a model prices it
26
state it is not the product
4
state all six together
1
the composed priceThe number returned for a set of outcomes the customer named. It is not the product of the legs: on the samples 5.60 multiplies and 4.80 is offered, because the legs happen together more often than independence implies.
the requestA customer asking an operator to invent a market. 500 arrived in the sample month, 218 produced a price, 131 could not be priced at all, and the median answer took 3 hours 40 minutes.
the void legA leg that never happens, repaired by re-pricing the combination from its remaining legs. Dividing the price by the void leg gives 4.50 where the real three-leg price is 4.80 - a 6.7% error.
Direct answer

Of 40 invented terms pages, 26 state that a composed price is produced by a model and only 4 state that it is not the product of the legs. Nine state the void-leg re-pricing rule, 18 state the leg limits and 7 say a request may be refused. One page in forty states all six rules together.

Why the count is the finding

Every rule in this desk's subject is a rule a reader cannot invent. Nobody discovers that the price was produced by a joint model by looking at it, nobody predicts the void-leg repair from the multiplication they did, and nobody learns that a combination can be settled in part except by having it happen. The sample corpus is the measure of how much of that a reader is told: the single most important fact - that the price is a model's output - appears on 65.0% of pages, and the fact that changes every reader's arithmetic appears on 10.0%.

What the samples show

Sample F - 40 terms pages against the six rules of a composed market
Rule the reader needsPages stating itShareRule it decides
A model prices the combination2665.0%Why the price is not the product
The price is not the product of the legs410.0%The arithmetic a reader does
A void leg is re-priced, not divided out922.5%What arrives when a leg fails
A combination may be settled in part00.0%What a partial settlement is worth
The minimum and maximum legs1845.0%What may be asked for
A request may be refused717.5%Why nothing came back
All six rules on one page12.5%One page in forty
sample F - the six rules, counted together pages read = 40 state a model prices the combination = 26 -> 65.0% state the price is not the product = 4 -> 10.0% state the void-leg re-pricing rule = 9 -> 22.5% state that a combination may settle in part = 0 -> 0.0% state the leg limits = 18 -> 45.0% state that a request may be refused = 7 -> 17.5% state all six rules together = 1 -> 2.5% a reader would have to read 40 pages to assemble a complete picture, and 39 of them would be incomplete.
sample F - the three limits, counted state the payable price limit = 7 -> 17.5% state the maximum stake on a combination = 4 -> 10.0% state the payout ceiling = 11 -> 27.5% state that the ceiling binds before the stake = 2 -> 5.0% so the limit that decides the size of a long combination is stated on 4 pages in 40, and the interaction that makes it bite is stated on 2.

What a reader can check afterwards

Three things exist after a composed market has run. The market's own settlement record, if it was published - 194 of 218 in sample B. The account's transaction history, which shows the money and not the reasoning. And the operator's request log, which is not published at all. The gap is the point: the arithmetic that produced the price is knowable in principle and checkable in practice only to the extent that the operator chose to write it down before the number was quoted.

Five things to keep for yourself
  • The exact wording of every leg, saved before the request is sent.
  • The composed price, the time it arrived and the stake it applied to.
  • The product of the legs, computed by you, so the difference is visible rather than inferred.
  • The market's name and settlement rule once it is published, or the fact that it was kept private.
  • Whether the pages that govern your account state the six rules on this page - and if not, the confirmation is the only record you will have.

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